Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3FHnphQ -
Today we look at the market reaction to US President Biden giving Fed Chair Powell teh nod for a second term, while promoting Lael Brainard to Vice Chair. The most interesting reactions were in the US yield curve as a faster pace of Fed tightening was priced in for next year, but also in the US equity market, which experienced a climax reversal back lower after an initial surge higher in the wake of the Powell nomination news. Elsewhere, oil set for an interesting test as Biden may be set to announce a release . And in sovereign bond markets, besides the US treasury focus after the news yesterday, focus is also on Europe as we may be set for a German government coalition announcement as Italian risks also weigh on President Mattarella's imminent resignation. Today's pod features Althea Spinozzi on fixed income, Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on fixed income and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Market cross-currents are intensifying.
Big dollar breaks down after latest cycle high in US CPI
Mean reversion, check. Now what?
Turnaround Monday as sentiment makes a stand
Entire US yield curve lifting and geopolitical nerves weighing
December US jobs report today, earnings season next week
Hawkish Fed has the market in its talons
In the great EV battle, a graveyard of casualties awaits
US yields surge on first trading day of 2022
Looking for a very different year ahead in 2022
Thanks for a fantastic 2021! (And some cautious notes on markets in 2022)
Crude oil and US dollar setup ahead of the New Year
Equities aboard Santa’s sleigh, but yield curve predicting storm ahead?
The setup for 2022
Will the positive market spirit extend into the holiday?
Moderna news injects fresh optimism
Year-end chill descend on markets
FOMC kneejerk reversal and ominous technical setup
Who‘s afraid of the big, bad Fed?
What does Fed deliver and what is in the price?
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