Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3GmK3MD -
The equity market recovery continued apace yesterday and overnight, buoyed by Alphabet's 20 to 1 stock split and a jump in its share price after the parent company of Google reported strong results for its ads business. Today we breakdown the many equities to focus on as the earnings blitz continues, the key technical levels for the equity market as this recovery has taken the price action close to pivotal resistance levels. We also discuss crude oil ahead of another OPEC+ meeting and the latest US inventory data, a very tight coffee market, understanding total return in the commodity market and in currencies, the degree to which Aussie has correlated with risk sentiment rather than listening to the RBA. This and more in today's pod, which features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities, and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
Equities throwing down the gauntlet, how will Fed respond?
US yields jump, capping complacency
Soft CPI revives risk rally, but treasury reaction creates dissonance.
When is the great disinflation bet derailed?
Bears finally get a hook
The market is not for turning
Market complacency and the 2008 parallels.
Market is not ready for stagflation
Yield pop elicits complacent shrug from equities
Taiwan tensions and a possible market pivot
Financial conditions in the driver’s seat
Careful what you wish for, market.
Market indulges in risk-on after weak Powell pushback
Leaning against the market’s lean into FOMC
VIX below 25 with this backdrop? You must be kidding...
Huge week ahead on earnings and Fed guidance
USD breakout, commodities plunging, and equities love ’junk’
RBA hikes and inflation trades are back
Recession fears are pulling commodities and bond yields lower
Diving commodities prices the driver.
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