Latest Cents of Security pod, Senior Economist Jose Torres breaks down three pivotal indicators:
Labor pulse: Challenger Gray & Christmas showed December job cuts at multi‑year lows alongside firmer hiring intentions—dampening slowdown worries.
Productivity pop: One of the strongest readings in the last decade, helping wage growth coexist with tamer inflation by lifting output per worker.
Trade picture: The deficit narrowed to its lowest since 2009—with caveats around front‑loaded pharma imports and ongoing...
Latest Cents of Security pod, Senior Economist Jose Torres breaks down three pivotal indicators:
- Labor pulse: Challenger Gray & Christmas showed December job cuts at multi‑year lows alongside firmer hiring intentions—dampening slowdown worries.
- Productivity pop: One of the strongest readings in the last decade, helping wage growth coexist with tamer inflation by lifting output per worker.
- Trade picture: The deficit narrowed to its lowest since 2009—with caveats around front‑loaded pharma imports and ongoing onshoring dynamics.
- Market leadership: Rotation days where Dow/Russell outpace S&P/Nasdaq, and why small caps can benefit from faster growth + rate cuts.
- Policy watch: How upcoming tariff decisions could sway rates, the fiscal backdrop, and near‑term margins without materially changing the broader inflation trend.
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