Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/3xca1On -
Today we look unpack the modest changes to the July FOMC monetary policy statement last night that elicited a fleeting sell-off in US treasuries and boost to the USD before that move was reversed. We also ask whether there were more interesting takeaways from the Fed Chair Powell press conference than the market reaction seemed to suggest. Finally we assess the market reaction to last night's meeting and what we are looking for from here, particularly as some of Fed Chair Powell's comments on inflation and incoming data could mean a highly reactive market around coming Fed speakers and labor-market data. Today's pod features Althea Spinozzi on fixed income and is hosted by John J. Hardy.
Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic
US treasury yields, fiscal outlook and debt ceiling concerns top the agenda this week
Spike in long yields grabs the spotlight. Huge week ahead.
Hawkish FOMC at the margin, but market focus elsewhere
What if the FOMC meeting doesn‘t really matter?
Was that the capitulation or more to come?
We are in the event horizon of a market correction
High stakes on FOMC week ahead as US yields, USD poke back higher.
Contagion in Chinese property sector. US dip-buyers take a stand.
Risk sentiment increasingly on tilt ahead of options witching this Friday
Holding breath for US August CPI print today
Market stumbles into a new week. Apple in trouble?
Yields drop on ECB, US T-bond auction. Eyeing India
Market rout deepens. ECB to underwhelm?
Market looks increasingly unsettled. Are rising US yields a trigger?
ECB to lead Fed? Possible mischief if US 10-year yields break higher.
Japan flying high. Supply chain risks multiplying.
Is this the final melt-up of the cycle?
Equities dip, but FX points to fresh risk sentiment boost
Chinese equity rebound boosts global sentiment, even as we remain in defensive stance
Equities accelerate beyond trend, not always a good thing
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