EBS 17: Public Housing | Does It Really Hurt Capital Growth?

Episode 17 tests the claim that public housing hurts capital growth. Using census data from 2006 to 2021, we compare suburbs with low and high levels of public housing and find no meaningful difference in long term price growth. We also examine changes in public housing over time and show they do not provide a reliable signal for future growth either. The episode goes further by looking at yield and vacancy, finding that higher public housing areas can still deliver solid rental performance. The takeaway is simple. Public housing may affect a suburb’s price point, but the data does not support the idea that it damages growth.

 

Episode Highlights:
00:00 - Introduction
01:13 - What is public housing?
02:54 - Examples of public housing numbers
05:27 - Relationship between govt. housing and long term growth
11:43 - Why public housing has not impact on capital growth
14:03 - 15 year change in public housing vs capital growth
20:05 - 10 year change in public housing vs capital growth
21:47 - 5 year change in public housing vs capital growth
23:11 - Why?
27:55 - Public housing vs gross yield
29:06 - Public housing vs vacancy rate
29:39 - Why?
33:37 - Public housing vs typical value
36:25 - How to counter problem tenants
38:05 - Conclusion

 

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