So how'd our prototype do in the twin Georgia Senate runoffs?
Polling: bad. Forecast: not so bad.
Hey, it's a process. It's also lots of fun. So join us as we vivisect the model and ponder how best to monkey with the assumptions, weights, and screens, as eye upcoming ballot brawls like the (possible) Newsom recall and the NYC mayoral primary.
In the episode, we reference Northwestern data scientist Thomas Miller's supremely accurate Georgia forecast. You can follow Miller on Twitter at @virtualtout.
Follow along with our interactive polls and forecasts at OpenModelProject.org. Follow us on Twitter at @OpenModelProj.
If you'd like to see more independent forecasting and unbiased polling in your world, please consider supporting us on Patreon at patreon.com/openmodel.
All Noise, No Signal
Raising the Bar for Polling NYC and Vaccine Hesitancy
NYC Mayoral Candidates: Poked, Prodded, Weighed and Measured
Forecast Feud: Are Polls Useless or Just Bad?
Ranked Choice Voting and the NYC Mayoral Race
Introducing the Open Model Project
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