What on earth is the FOMC reaction function?

Link to slide deck: https://bit.ly/40XRS5t   -

Today we look at yesterday's rocky market session on the March US JOLTS survey showing far fewer job openings than expected, but also on further turmoil and concern related to US regional banks. We also ponder what the reaction function to tonight's FOMC meeting will be, when the market has already fully priced a pivot and aggressive rate cut cycle into 2024 (Fed funds priced to drop to 4.40% by end of this year and another 100 basis points or more by mid-next year). Elsewhere, more bearish action in commodity prices and FX, JPY jumps on yield dump, and mixed news in incoming earnings, with bright spots but the overall earnings season and guidance heading south. Today's pod features Peter Garnry on equities, Ole Hansen on commodities and John J. Hardy hosting and on FX.

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Intro and outro music by AShamaluevMusic