The durability of a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel hinges on several complex factors, including regional dynamics, internal politics, and external pressures. Will UNIFIL turn a blind eye to Hezbollah activity, or will they help make this 60-day ceasefire stick? Historically, ceasefires in this context have been fragile, often disrupted by sporadic violence. Key to the longevity of any agreement will be the commitment of both sides to uphold it, alongside the influence of international actors who may exert pressure for stability.
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