Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi ”Death Markets” | Ep 145

2026-03-04

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NERD ALERT!!We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" market. We touch on the issues w/ "last traded price" settlement and the similarities to the Cardi B. rules debacle. 0:00 Predictive Sports Stats31:45 Iran Leader Kalshi Market45:50 Rest of News.54:00 Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by ...

NERD ALERT!!

We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" market. We touch on the issues w/ "last traded price" settlement and the similarities to the Cardi B. rules debacle.

0:00 Predictive Sports Stats

31:45 Iran Leader Kalshi Market

45:50 Rest of News.

54:00 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

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