Ep. 397: Risk Management in BJJ, feat. Jake Luigi

This week, we're joined again by Jake Luigi! Jake is a jiu-jitsu analyst who made his name studying professional match footage, and he runs OutlierDB, an analytics database for grappling. In this episode, Jake lays out a three-part framework for managing risk: name the worst-case scenario, watch for the key indicators that it's coming, and only attack hard once those indicators are in your favor. Topics include: risk-reward analysis, points of control, grip fighting, terminal positions, and Goodhart's Law.

Subscribe to Less Impressed More Involved on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/@LIMIBJJ

Check out OutlierDB:
https://outlierdb.com


Mental models discussed in this episode:

• Return on Investment
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/return-on-investment
  
  
• Building Your Triggers
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/building-your-triggers
  
  
• Double Trouble
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/double-trouble
  
  
• Cognitive Load
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/cognitive-load
  
  
• Constraints-Led Approach
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/constraints-led-approach
  
  
• Availability Heuristic
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/availability-heuristic
  
  
• Points of Control
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/points-of-control
  
  
• Terminal Positions
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/terminal-positions
  
  
• Invariants
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/invariants
  
  
• Grips Dictate Position
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/grips-dictate-position
  
  
• Kuzushi
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/kuzushi
  
  
• Rotational Control
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/rotational-control
  
  
• Goodhart's Law
  https://bjjmentalmodels.com/goodharts-law
  
  

⬆️ LEVEL UP with BJJ Mental Models Premium!

The world's LARGEST library of jiu-jitsu audio lessons, our complete podcast network, online coaching, and much more! Your first week is free:
https://bjjmentalmodels.com


Need more BJJ Mental Models?

Get the legendary BJJMM newsletter:
https://bjjmentalmodels.com/newsletter

Learn more mental models in our online database:
https://bjjmentalmodels.com/database

Follow us on social:
https://instagram.com/bjjmentalmodels
https://threads.com/@bjjmentalmodels
https://bjjmentalmodels.bsky.social
https://youtube.com/@bjjmentalmodels

Music by Enterprize:
https://enterprize.bandcamp.com