Three months ago, as the presidential primaries were getting underway, President Joe Biden was trailing former President Donald Trump in the polls nationally and in battleground states, and concerns about his age were coming to the fore. The optimistic view for Biden was that once the presidential primaries were over, and it became clear that the choice was a 2020 rematch, the polls would move in his direction. But the polls have changed little. In fact, a new set of battleground polls from The New York Times/Siena College shows Biden trailing in all but one of the battleground states, with a lead for Trump as high as 12 points in Nevada.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew asks why the end of the primaries, weeks of Biden campaigning and millions spent on advertising have changed the polls little. They also preview Tuesday's primaries in Maryland and West Virginia, in particular a very competitive Democratic Senate primary in Maryland.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Elections Everywhere All At Once
Campaign Throwback: 'The Beer Question'
Are Americans Tuning Out The 2024 Election?
Why Voters Are Worried About Democracy, In Their Own Words
Campaign Throwback: 'Soccer Moms'
Are We Smarter Than The Betting Markets?
Campaign Throwback: 'The Economy, Stupid'
Will The Protests Over Gaza Affect The 2024 Election?
Why Voters Are Down On The Economy, In Their Own Words
A Tale Of Two Trump Trials
538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential Race
Are Mike Johnson’s Days Numbered?
In Trump Trial, Jury Selection Is Part Politics
The Political Stakes Of Trump's First Trial
What's Up With The Kids These Days?
Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender
Where Will People Commune In A Godless America?
The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest
Are US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment?
Create your
podcast in
minutes
It is Free
Up First
The Daily
Stuff You Should Know
Myths and Legends
Real Crime Profile