This could be your best trade of the year! Join us as we share December secrets for your portfolio. We also talk about the shifting narratives around climate change, deregulation, and rising energy demand driven by AI. We also explore expectations for low energy prices through the election cycle, concerns about an AI-driven bubble, the continued K-shaped economy, and tactical investing insights such as exploiting year-end tax-loss selling, watching beaten-down sectors, monitoring insider buying, and recognizing mutual-fund distribution dips.
This could be your best trade of the year! Join us as we share December secrets for your portfolio. We also talk about the shifting narratives around climate change, deregulation, and rising energy demand driven by AI. We also explore expectations for low energy prices through the election cycle, concerns about an AI-driven bubble, the continued K-shaped economy, and tactical investing insights such as exploiting year-end tax-loss selling, watching beaten-down sectors, monitoring insider buying, and recognizing mutual-fund distribution dips.
We discuss...
- Political climate influences environmental narratives, pointing out that media references to "climate crisis" suddenly dropped as energy demand pressures changed.
- The explosion of AI data centers has quietly forced policymakers to pivot from anti-energy rhetoric to encouraging more electricity production and deregulation.
- How AI companies are now some of the largest new consumers of electricity, making cheap, abundant power a strategic priority for the tech sector.
- Energy prices are being politically managed to stay low into the midterm elections to keep inflation optics favorable.
- While AI valuations are stretched, there's unlikely to be an immediate bubble burst because capital flows and earnings momentum remain supportive.
- How end-of-year tax-loss harvesting creates forced selling in beaten-down stocks, temporarily pushing prices below fair value.
- Mutual funds selling to raise cash for capital-gains distributions can generate artificial dips that offer tactical buying windows for informed investors.
- Insider-buying activity is a useful signal in December, since executives often buy when their stock is mispriced due to seasonal pressures.
- A simple long-term Bitcoin approach: buy when it collapses on fear, hold through chop, and scale out when it becomes euphoric and parabolic.
- Concerns about the systemic risk attached to MicroStrategy's leveraged Bitcoin balance sheet and how a sharp BTC drawdown could spark forced selling.
- How crypto ETFs, institutional custody, and Wall Street participation may reduce volatility over time but also increase susceptibility to coordinated market moves.
- How markets today reward patience, skepticism, and tactical opportunism more than blind buy-and-hold in all sectors.
Today's Panelists:
Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors
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For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/best-trade-of-the-year-771
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