Our Outlook for 2026

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Today on The DeFi Report, we’re mapping the 2026 setup: shifting fiscal flows, tighter liquidity, and why rate cuts are not automatically bullish for crypto. Mike stays risk off (80 percent cash) while he watches for the signals that would force a pivot, falling real yields, a dovish Fed, and Bitcoin reclaiming key levels. We also break down where we are in the market cycle, why a counter rally could be a trap, and what Mike’s $65K fair value target implies for positioning this year.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

1:10 Setup for 2026

5:54 Macro & Liquidity Setup

8:46 2022 Comparison 

11:40 U.S. Liquidity Cycle Insights

13:20 Bitcoin & Interest Rates

16:34 Labor Market Insights

18:49 Real Estate Trends

21:04 Midterm Year Implications

23:30 Asset Allocation Cycle

26:18 Crypto Cycle Analysis

29:38 Transition Phase in Crypto

34:23 Geopolitical X Factor

37:12 Closing & Disclaimers

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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.