Andrew Martinez on the Art of Forecasting

Andrew Martinez is a former Treasure economist and currently is an assistant professor of economics at American University. In Andrew's first appearance on the show, he discusses his career as a forecaster, the current state of forecasting, the intersection of AI and forecasting, the role of the SEP and monetary policy surprises, his work with David on the NGDP Gap measure, and much more.

Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.

Recorded on January 13th, 2025

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Timestamps

00:00:00 - Intro

00:01:20 - Andrew's Career

00:08:36 - State of Forecasting

00:20:19 - AI and Forecasting

00:29:34 - The SEP and Monetary Policy Surprises

00:41:07 - Nominal GDP/Expectations Gap

00:54:56 - Outro