"The long-term drivers for the commodity cycle are intact. The rally that we've seen over the last 24 months, it's just like a teaser of what's coming when you look at broad sort of like landscape ideas in terms of like the exposure of global markets to mining and metals and to energy as well, it's less than 1% in some cases. If that only gets back to long-term averages of 5 to 10%, we're looking at trillions of dollars that are going to roll into our space. We live in a world where companies...
"The long-term drivers for the commodity cycle are intact. The rally that we've seen over the last 24 months, it's just like a teaser of what's coming when you look at broad sort of like landscape ideas in terms of like the exposure of global markets to mining and metals and to energy as well, it's less than 1% in some cases. If that only gets back to long-term averages of 5 to 10%, we're looking at trillions of dollars that are going to roll into our space. We live in a world where companies have trillion-dollar valuations. Why can't our companies [miners] have trillion-dollar valuations?" explains Resource Fund Manager Samuel Pelaez in this MSE episode.
Samuel Pelaez is the President, CEO and CIO of Olive Resource Capital Inc. He has dedicated the past decade to financing natural resource projects while serving as Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Galileo Global Equity Advisors, and as an analyst at US Global Investors. Mr. Pelaez has been an early investor in numerous resource discoveries and has been an active participant in Canadian resource corporate transactions. Samuel graduated from the Schulich School of Business with Distinction. He also holds a Masters in Finance degree from The University of Cambridge. He was a scholar of the Financial Leaders of Tomorrow Program at the PBOC Graduate School at Tsinghua University in Beijing. Samuel is a CFA charter holder and member of the Toronto CFA Society where he resides.
Sam’s website: https://olive-resource.com/
00:00 Intro
00:47 Market Outlook and Fed
02:41 Gold Pullback Opportunity
04:12 Liquidity Spreads to Commodities
07:04 Whales Media and Charts
08:29 Copper Capex and Juniors
13:54 Project Quality and Water
17:13 M&A Drivers Permitting
19:46 Fast 41 and Policy Tailwinds
21:50 Portfolio Construction Focus
24:21 Position Sizing Concentration
28:37 Benchmarking and Learning
34:10 Top Picks to Watch
36:45 Olive Resource Capital Thesis
39:23 Cost of Living Philosophy
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