What do you get when you combine a veteran superforecaster with an experienced hacker and innovator? You get our guest for episode 4 of The Right Side of Maybe!
This week we spoke with Carolyn Meinel—CTO of ISIT Austin, hacker and author, and top-ranked superforecaster—about her experience in the hacking world, forecasting best practices and frameworks, as well as Carolyn’s prediction about the Code Red worm which turned out on the right side of maybe. If you have interest in the intersection of forecasting and cyberwarfare, or want to be graced with interesting anecdotes about the science world from the 1970s to 2000s, this is the episode for you.
Find Carolyn Meinel: https://twitter.com/cmeinel
Global Guessing: https://globalguessing.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/globalguessing
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David McCullough on Why Good Forecasting Questions Matter! (GGWP 19)
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John Fowler on International Intrigue, Limits of Geopolitical Forecasting (GGWP 17)
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Satopää and Salikhov on Bias, Information, and Noise Model of Forecasting (GGWP 16)
✅ Datscilly, the Top-Ranked Forecaster on Metaculus
Phillip Orchard on Geopolitical Futures, US-China Competition, Forecasting Methods (GGWP 15)
An Interview with Gaia Dempsey, CEO of Metaculus (GGWP 14)
A Metaculus Mondays Special | 2021 Israel-Palestine Conflict (GGWP 13)
Michael Hilliard of The Ride Line Podcast on Afghanistan, Donbass, and Beijing Olympics (GGWP 12)
Tom Liptay and Michael Story on Founding Maby & Forecasting Adoption (GGWP 11)
✅ How Superforecaster Tom Liptay Got COVID Right
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