David Brin - The Road To AGI

ChatGPT already passes the Turing Test, and the new Q* algorithm is "so powerful it alarmed staff". Are we close to AGI, and is it safe? Dr. David Brin discusses the trajectory of artificial intelligence research and offers predictions on what we'll see on the road to AGI. Dr. David Brin is the author of dozens of best-selling novels & short-stories, some of which have been adapted for film & television, as well as a variety of novels, including "Foundation's Triumph", published in 1999 on behalf of Isaac Asimov's estate. David is a 2010 fellow of the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies, helped establish the Arthur C. Clarke Center for Human Imagination, serves on the advisory board of NASA's Innovative and Advanced Concepts group, and does futurism consulting for diverse organizations including the US Department of Defense, Procter & Gamble, SAP, Google & many more. David is the winner of numerous awards & honors, including the prestigious Nebula, Hugo & Locus awards for science fiction, and holds a PhD in Space Science from the University of California. CHAPTERS: 0:00 - Introduction 1:45 - AI & AGI Hype-Cycle 13:22 - Sci-Fi Predictions vs. Reality 21:06 - Q* Algorithm & AI Trajectory 30:43 - AI Safety & Premature Adoption 37:44 - Singularity Timeline 41:00 - AI Policing & Safety 52:11 - Closing Thoughts LINKS & RESOURCES: Vivid Tomorrows, by David Brin https://www.davidbrin.com/vividtomorrows.html Wired: Give Every AI a Soul—or Else https://www.wired.com/story/give-every-ai-a-soul-or-else/ The Transparent Society, by David Brin https://www.davidbrin.com/transparentsociety.html Existence, by David Brin https://www.davidbrin.com/existence.html David's Homepage & Amazon Books https://www.davidbrin.com/ https://www.davidbrin.com/books.html https://www.amazon.com/David-Brin/e/B000APAXV6