U.S.-Russia Talks, Aussie Rate Cut & UK Pay Growth Spike - PALvatar Market Recap, February 18 2025

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Geopolitics, Rate Cuts & Inflation Fears Drive Markets

Markets are on edge as U.S.-Russia talks on Ukraine move forward—without Europe or Ukraine at the table. This raises concerns about energy markets and broader geopolitical risks.

🏦 Reserve Bank of Australia cuts rates for the first time since 2020, signaling caution despite market expectations for further easing.

📈 UK pay growth jumps 6.2% YoY—the Bank of England’s favorite inflation gauge—making rate cuts less likely despite weak economic growth.

📢 Germany & Japan face ongoing inflation risks tied to Trump’s proposed tariffs.

📊 FOMC minutes drop this week—markets will be watching for Fed rate clues. Canada’s CPI is also out today.

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