Episode 68: Questions From the Listeners #6

2022-09-15

Week 1 of the NFL season is in the books and there was a LOT going on. Rob Pizzola and Johnny break down the first week of NFL football and take you through what was going through their minds watching the end of the Monday Night Football game between the Broncos and the Seahawks unfold. What was Nathaniel Hackett thinking? Why did the Broncos kick? Did the analytics support the field goal? What was the point of getting Russell Wilson?? The guys then get into some listener questions discussing the impact of social...

The guys then get into some listener questions discussing the impact of social media and release shows on CLV and the overall betting market, which sportsbooks set the precedent for certain sports, the math behind teasers and how to play them, reverse line movement, the Gamblers Fallacy, and a whole lot more!

Tune into Episode 67 of the Circles Off sports betting podcast on thehammer.bet for in-depth sports betting discussion from professional sports bettors!

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SHOW INDEX:
(00:00) Intro
(03:28) Listener Questions
(04:16) Broncos vs Seahawks Reaction
(13:05) Betting NFL Quarters and Halves
(15:59) How To Analyze Teaser Bets
(20:19) Picks Release Shows
(31:52) Buying Back Lines
(39:22) What is the Gambler’s Fallacy?
(47:06) Reverse Line Movement and Public Betting Percentages
(57:01) Reason for Books Posting Lines When they Do
(57:26) What Book Sets the Market for NHL?
(57:52) Using an Odds Screen
(59:44) Future of Sportsbooks
(1:02:01) Maintaining a Profitable Edge
(1:06:59) Which Bookies have the worst reputation?
(1:09:21) Sports Betting Content Creation
(1:11:17) Rob Pizzola Issues a Public Apology