EP. 1481 Supply is the Killer to Capital Growth

In this conversation, Mark Novak and Josh discuss how excessive property supply can severely hinder capital growth, the key factor that increases the value of most people’s real estate assets. They compare high-supply suburbs like Zetland, Epping, and Homebush—where mass apartment developments have led to sluggish growth—with low-supply, high-demand areas like Dee Why (DY), which have seen far greater appreciation. Using RP Data, they reveal dramatic differences: DY units rose by 88% over ten years, while areas like Zetland saw only 15–20%. This disparity translates into tens or hundreds of thousands in lost equity for investors and homeowners, directly impacting future borrowing capacity and financial opportunity.

They emphasize that capital growth is not just about the suburb’s name or location but about how much new stock it can absorb. Desirable, lifestyle-oriented suburbs—especially coastal areas—tend to hold their value because they offer limited development opportunities and strong demand. By contrast, areas with unchecked development become oversupplied and struggle with price growth. The conversation ends with a reflection on how important it is to invest wisely in areas with constrained supply and sustained demand, alongside a light-hearted celebration of Mark’s birthday and acknowledgment of his contributions to the team.