The Wire - November 2, 2023

RR The Wire 2200Z November 02, 2023

 

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR

DTG: 220002Z NOV 23

ICOD: 210002Z NOV 23

CONTROLS: Public Release

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BLUF: ISRAELI ENCIRCLEMENT OF GAZA CITY COMPLETE. YEMENI STRIKES DRAW IRE FROM ARAB STATES.

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-International Events-

Middle East Front: This morning, Israeli forces in central Gaza reached the Med, completing the encirclement of Gaza City. It is unclear if this encirclement will be effective as the vast majority of Hamas’ combat strength lies underground. Throughout this invasion, many reports detail Hamas militants suddenly appearing in areas that were already cleared, or engaging IDF soldiers from multiple directions. As such the “front line” is likely not as solidified as the IDF would like to believe.

Jordanian and Saudi leaders have expressed concern with Yemen’s efforts to target Israel, as these attacks are carried out through their airspace. Jordan called the attacks “reckless” as Yemen is engaging Israel with extremely long-range cruise missiles in a manner which poses a threat to other Arab nations.

France has stated that they will send additional naval vessels to the region to assist with evacuation efforts and medical care for Palestinians. It is unclear as to which vessels will be sent ATT, though the number of NATO vessels already in theatre is substantial.

-HomeFront-

USA: Multiple strange incidents possibly related to domestic terror attempts have been reported over the past few weeks. Questionable details remain surrounding the Maine shooting and the fate of Robert Card, which have only raised more questions about his previous mental health incidents. Last week an alleged potential mass shooter was found deceased in a restroom at an amusement park in Colorado, with the words “I am not a killer” allegedly etched into the wall beside his body. AC: Though the lack of data results in significant intelligence gaps that don’t allow any substantial analysis of these events, the potential for false-flag operations being extremely high means that any questionable incident cannot be viewed at face value.

-Analyst Comments-

Questions remain about the fate of Palestinians who reside in Gaza City. Any accuracy with regards to casualties is not possible due to the sheer scale of the bombing campaign seen so far. Strikes have changed significant portions of geography making the geolocation of video/photo evidence difficult, and the true casualty count impossible to verify.

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Analyst: S2A

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