Golf players, investors and CEOs perform better if they take their time. Or do they? Today, Prof. Gerd Gigerenzer reveals why intuition often outperforms complex analysis and how shortcuts can lead to smarter decisions in business, sports, and investing.You’ll learn:Why gut instinct can beat data-driven decisions (feat. insights from Gerd Gigerenzer).How firefighters, CEOs, and handball players make better choices under pressure.The dangers of overthinking—why too much time can worsen deci...
Golf players, investors and CEOs perform better if they take their time. Or do they?
Today, Prof. Gerd Gigerenzer reveals why intuition often outperforms complex analysis and how shortcuts can lead to smarter decisions in business, sports, and investing.
You’ll learn:
Why gut instinct can beat data-driven decisions (feat. insights from Gerd Gigerenzer).
How firefighters, CEOs, and handball players make better choices under pressure.
The dangers of overthinking—why too much time can worsen decisions (feat. 2004 golf study).
Why simple rules predict outcomes better than complex models (feat. Wimbledon & NFL studies).
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Gerd’s book Smart Management: https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262548014/smart-management/
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Sources:
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DeMiguel, V., Garlappi, L., & Uppal, R. (2009). Optimal versus naive diversification: How inefficient is the 1/N portfolio strategy? The Review of Financial Studies, 22(5), 1915–1953.
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Klein, G. A. (1999). Sources of power: How people make decisions. MIT Press.
Reb, J., Luan, S., & Gigerenzer, G. (2024). Smart management: How simple heuristics help leaders make good decisions in an uncertain world. The MIT Press.
Serwe, S., & Frings, C. (2006). Who will win Wimbledon? The recognition heuristic in predicting sports events. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 19(4), 321–332. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.530
West, D. C., Acar, O. A., & Caruana, A. (2020). Choosing among alternative new product development projects: The role of heuristics. Psychology & Marketing, 37(12), 1719–1736. https://doi.org/10.1002/mar.21397
