In this episode I talk with Irineo Cabreros about causality. We discuss why causality matters, what does and does not imply causality, and two different mathematical formalizations of causality: potential outcomes and directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). Causal models are usually considered external to and separate from statistical models, whereas Irineo’s new paper shows how causality can be viewed as a relationship between particularly chosen random variables (potential outcomes).
Links:
Causal models on probability spaces (Irineo Cabreros, John D. Storey) The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect (Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie)