Polling Matters - Ep. 101 Local election debrief, election forecasting and Macron with Steve Fisher

On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Steve Fisher from Oxford University. Steve runs the elections website https://electionsetc.com/ and is part of the team that produces the General Election exit poll.

Keiran and Steve discuss the fallout from last week's local elections. Steve explains how his election forecast did and what the results tell us about the potential outcome of the General Election in June. Keiran and Steve also discuss how the opinion polls differ from the national vote share last week and what it means. Steve explains why he thinks a Tory landslide is more likely than not and Keiran and Steve make time to discuss France too.

Later in the show, Keiran unveils new polling from Opinium that suggests the public are broadly buying Theresa May's key talking points in the election but may not be as thrilled at the prospect of a Tory landslide as the polls may suggest.

Follw this week's guests

@keiranpedley

@stephendfisher