On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Steve Fisher from Oxford University. Steve runs the elections website https://electionsetc.com/ and is part of the team that produces the General Election exit poll.
Keiran and Steve discuss the fallout from last week's local elections. Steve explains how his election forecast did and what the results tell us about the potential outcome of the General Election in June. Keiran and Steve also discuss how the opinion polls differ from the national vote share last week and what it means. Steve explains why he thinks a Tory landslide is more likely than not and Keiran and Steve make time to discuss France too.
Later in the show, Keiran unveils new polling from Opinium that suggests the public are broadly buying Theresa May's key talking points in the election but may not be as thrilled at the prospect of a Tory landslide as the polls may suggest.
Follw this week's guests
@keiranpedley
@stephendfisher
Polling Matters - Episode 148 Looking ahead to the budget. Is it still the economy, stupid?
Polling Matters - Episode 147 Will May reach a Brexit deal and can she get it through parliament?
Polling Matters - Episode 147 What now for Scotland?
Polling Matters - Episode 146 How important is housing? (w/ Matt Singh)
Polling Matters - Episode 145 Poll trends that will shape the future...education, Brexit and the politically homeless with Paula Surridge
Polling Matters - Episode 144 Chequers is dead so should Labour now offer a 'people's vote'?
Polling Matters - Episode 143 Where do the Lib Dems go from here?
Polling Matters - Episode 142 Who are the centrists and who do they think they are?
Polling Matters - Episode 141 Know your boundaries! What do the proposed boundary reforms mean and will they happen?
Polling Matters - Episode 140 Would Remain win a second referendum and could Brexit lead to a united Ireland?
Polling Matters - Episode 139 How long will Trump last (and who will run against him)? Plus, how does public opinion on Brexit look ahead of party conference season?
Polling Matters - Episode 138 Silly season. What conspiracy theories do Brits believe? Boris makes tea and "wreath-gate"
Polling Matters - Episode 137 Are the public turning against Brexit and what do they really think of Communism?
Polling Matters - Episode 136 Deal or no deal Brexit, support for the far right and the death penalty and more
Polling Matters - Episode 135 The week the polls turned, Boris makes a speech and why Theresa May is a modern day Mr Burns
Polling Matters - Emergency podcast: Bye bye Boris & what happens next?
Polling Matters - Episode 133 Pollsters. hedge funds, Heathrow and why is Blair so noisy and Cameron so quiet?
Polling Matters - Episode 132 NHS funding, 'Brexit dividends' and UK drugs policy
Polling Matters - Episode 131 Trump meets Kim and parliament votes on Brexit
Polling Matters - Episode 130 Ireland post referendum, Border polls, Leave / Remain voters deep dive and David Davis backstop vs backdown?
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