On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Steve Fisher from Oxford University. Steve runs the elections website https://electionsetc.com/ and is part of the team that produces the General Election exit poll.
Keiran and Steve discuss the fallout from last week's local elections. Steve explains how his election forecast did and what the results tell us about the potential outcome of the General Election in June. Keiran and Steve also discuss how the opinion polls differ from the national vote share last week and what it means. Steve explains why he thinks a Tory landslide is more likely than not and Keiran and Steve make time to discuss France too.
Later in the show, Keiran unveils new polling from Opinium that suggests the public are broadly buying Theresa May's key talking points in the election but may not be as thrilled at the prospect of a Tory landslide as the polls may suggest.
Follw this week's guests
@keiranpedley
@stephendfisher
Polling Matters - Ep. 49 Trump's path to 1237, Terrorism, Osborne and Labour ahead?
Polling Matters - Ep. 48 March 15 and Budget Reaction
Polling Matters - Ep. 47 Looking ahead to March 15th, The Budget and Beyond
Polling Matters - Ep. 46 Super Tuesday & Labour with Stewart Wood
Polling Matters - Ep. 45 Europe and UKIP with Douglas Carswell
Polling Matters - Ep. 44 SCOTUS & 'Dubya' with Jon-Christopher Bua & Remain in trouble?
Polling Matters - Ep. 43 New Hampshire with 'The Pollsters'
Polling Matters - Ep. 42 TV Pilot, Iowa & E.U. Renegotiation
Polling Matters - Ep. 41 Looking ahead to Iowa and the importance of turnout
Polling Matters - Ep. 40 The BPC Polling Inquiry and are we underestimating Donald Trump?
Polling Matters - Ep. 39 What now for UKIP & the EU referendum campaign
Polling Matters - Ep. 38 Labour Reshuffle, Corbyn's future and questions from listeners w/ Damian McBride
Polling Matters - END OF YEAR SPECIAL PT2. Looking ahead to 2016 (Race for the White House, EU referendum & May elections)
Polling Matters: END OF YEAR SPECIAL Pt 1. Looking back at 2015 (Polling disasters, Scotland and a 'new' Labour Party)
Polling Matters - Ep. 36 Can Trump really win? w/ Ariel Edwards-Levy
Polling Matters - Ep. 35 Oldham, Syria, Polling and Benn
Polling Matters - Ep. 34 The U.S. Presidential race w/ Stan Greenberg
Polling Matters - Ep. 33 What do UK Muslims really think about terrorism?
Polling Matters - Ep. 32 What's it like running for parliament?
Polling Matters - Ep. 31 Scotland's future w/ Kate Devlin
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