Ep. 82: Speaker Newt McCarthy?

This week, we focus on the House elections. Republicans are favored by all the pundits to flip the lower chamber of Congress. But will this be a red wave or a red ripple? We discuss Kevin McCarthy's Commitment to America, we look at a Hail Mary Biden is throwing to lower gas prices, and we examine 12 House swing districts that could go either way.

 

00:00 Intro

05:18 Kevin McCarthy’s Gingrich-esque “Commitment to America”

22:52 Biden's Hail Mary to Save the House for Democrats

36:23 Eric covers five races Republicans could flip

37:02 TX-34, Gonzalez vs Flores

45:18 OH-09, Kaptur vs Majewski

54:55 CA-27, Smith vs Garcia

01:01:55 CA-45, Chen vs Steel

01:03:41 CA-22, Salas vs Valadeo

01:14:22 Jacob covers five races Republicans could flip and two tight ones they need to hold

01:15:07 OR-06, Salinas vs Erickson

01:17:07 OR-05, McLeaod-Skinner vs Chavez-DeRemer

01:19:41 NJ-07, Malinowski vs Kean

01:21:52 RI-02, Magaziner vs Fung

01:24:32 MI-07, Slotkin vs Barrett

01:27:42 NE-02, Vargas vs Bacon

01:28:36 CA-41, Rollins vs Calvert

 

SHOWNOTES

Kevin McCarthy’s Gingrich-esque “Commitment to America:” https://www.republicanleader.gov/commitment/ 

Kevin McCarthy does not support impeaching Joe Biden: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/19/mccarthy-impeachment-biden-gop-midterms/Restaurant

Vox sounding increasingly bearish on Dems’ chances: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2022/10/19/23408788/midterms-2022-polls-republicans-forecast

Biden releasing another 15 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves to reduce gas prices: http://www.whec.com/business/facing-tough-midterms-biden-releasing-oil-from-us-reserve/

Intelligencer article including an anecdote about how the GOP is throwing money away on Mayra’ Flores’ re-election bid: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/how-the-border-went-maga/ar-AA133oxh  

Trump-backed House candidate in Ohio’s 9th J.R. Majewski allegedly exaggerated his service in Afghanistan: https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-afghanistan-ohio-campaigns-e75d2566635f11f49332bd1c46711999 

FiveThirtyEight’s handy guide on how congressional districts changed after the 2022 redistricting process: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/ 

How California may once again determine a House majority: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/10/california-congressional-races-nancy-pelosi

Jacob’s blog article on midterms 100 years ago that flipped 77 House seats

https://historyhowithappened.com/throwback-to-1922-midterm-elections/