Conflict, energy and constraints
Macro Pulse

Conflict, energy and constraints

2025-06-19

Financial markets have been jolted over the past week by a sharp escalation in geopolitical risk. The sudden intensification of hostilities between Israel and Iran—marked by missile strikes and retaliatory air operations—has reignited fears of a broader regional conflict with global consequences. In our charts this week we focus on:

  • Geopolitical risk
  • Oil prices and global growth
  • Global shipping costs
  • Global oil reserves
  • Living standards and energy prices
  • Natural capital 
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