Polling Matters - Ep. 40 The BPC Polling Inquiry and are we underestimating Donald Trump?

On this week’s podcast Keiran discusses the initial BPC Polling Inquiry findings with Mike Smithson. Keiran explains some of the findings and why voting intention polls are not the same as public opinion polls. Mike argues that the polls being wrong shaped the General Election result and we discuss where polling goes from here and whether polling could face another crisis over the E.U. referendum result. Keiran and Mike also discuss the U.S. presidential race. Keiran argues we are underestimating Trump and Mike explains why he is no longer backing Ted Cruz in the betting markets.

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