What The Big Banks Are Predicting For Your Rate

What if the biggest banks in Canada showed up to the same party and couldn't agree on anything?

In this episode of Make Money Count, Marcus and Justin imagine exactly that: RBC, TD, BMO, and Scotiabank, all in one room, all asked the same question about where rates go next. Three of them show up with nearly the same answer. One of them shows up ready to argue.

We break down:

• Why RBC, TD, and BMO all point to weak labor force growth and US trade tariffs as the reason rates are likely on hold
• Scotiabank's outlier call for stronger growth and two rate hikes, and why this bank always seems to be the hawk in the room
• A chart on Canadian firms' long-run inflation expectations, and why it's holding steady even after a hundred-dollar oil price shock
• The role oil prices are playing behind the scenes in keeping inflation above target
• Why Justin is still making the case for variable right now, and the math behind that call
• Where mortgage rates actually stand today, and the real spread between fixed and variable

Four banks. One question. Only one real disagreement.

Watch till the end to find out which bank is the outlier, and what it means for your mortgage.

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