Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.
In part one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at Trump's approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP's prospects in the upcoming midterms. Keiran and Leo also look in-depth at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the right to lead the Democrat's progressive wing.
In part two, Keiran and Leo examine a range of recent polls that present conflicting messages about the state of public opinion on Brexit. Keiran argues that polling on the outcome of a second referendum is useless at this stage, Leo looks at whether support for a second vote is increasing and both Keiran and Leo have a few choice words for a recent article in The Mirror suggesting that 4 million people are prepared to vote Labour if Corbyn is clearer on their Brexit policy. Finally, the pair examine what the numbers mean for Brexit in practical terms as we enter a busy party conference season.
Follow this week's guests:
@Leobarasi
@Keiranpedley
Got a question for the Polling Matters team? Why not message Keiran or Leo on twitter?
Polling Matters - Ep. 89 Trouble for Trump, 'fake news' & what the UK really thinks about immigration
Polling Matters - Ep. 88 Article 50, German elections & past PM poll ratings
Polling Matters - Ep. 87 Northern Ireland elections, Brexit impact & polling on May & Corbyn
Polling Matters - Ep. 86 Defining feminism, women's march and was Brexit a mistake?
Polling Matters - Ep. 85 May Brexit plans, immigration and Trump's inauguration
Polling Matters - Ep. 84 Corbyn the populist and Labour's future with Andrew Harrop
Polling Matters - Ep. 83 END OF YEAR SPECIAL. Survey results and the winners and losers of 2016
Polling Matters - Ep. 82 Trump tweets, Democrats future, Paul Nuttall and ICM poll
Polling Matters - Ep. 81 Analysing Trump's victory and what happens next with Jon-Christopher Bua
Polling Matters - Ep. 80 Trump wins
Polling Matters - Ep. 79 Race for the White House one week to go
Polling Matters - Ep. 78 Heathrow, Labour's floor, UKIP leadership and the 'No Brexit' Party
Polling Matters - Ep. 77 US election special
Polling Matters - Ep. 76 Great (Br)expectations, why the Tories don't want a snap election and the Clinton 'surge'
Polling Matters - Ep. 75 US debate reaction and what now for Labour?
Polling Matters - Ep. 74 Trump vs Clinton debates, 3rd parties and #Libdemfightback
Polling Matters - Ep. 73 US SPECIAL: Clinton's health, Ohio, Debates, Mr Brexit & Trump's problem with women
Polling Matters - Ep. 72 Ashcroft polling, immigration v the single market, Junior Doctors and Trump's comeback
Polling Matters - Ep. 71 Is a Corbyn victory inevitable and what does Brexit mean?
Polling Matters - Ep. 70 Are victories for May and Clinton inevitable? (Plus popular past Prime Ministers)
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