Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.
In part one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at Trump's approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP's prospects in the upcoming midterms. Keiran and Leo also look in-depth at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the right to lead the Democrat's progressive wing.
In part two, Keiran and Leo examine a range of recent polls that present conflicting messages about the state of public opinion on Brexit. Keiran argues that polling on the outcome of a second referendum is useless at this stage, Leo looks at whether support for a second vote is increasing and both Keiran and Leo have a few choice words for a recent article in The Mirror suggesting that 4 million people are prepared to vote Labour if Corbyn is clearer on their Brexit policy. Finally, the pair examine what the numbers mean for Brexit in practical terms as we enter a busy party conference season.
Follow this week's guests:
@Leobarasi
@Keiranpedley
Got a question for the Polling Matters team? Why not message Keiran or Leo on twitter?
Polling Matters - Ep. 69 Life after Brexit, Scotland, Labour leadership and what happens now
Polling Matters - Ep. 68 Theresa May's honeymoon, Ruth Davidson, snap elections and Trump
Polling Matters - Ep. 67 Corbyn vs Smith and back across the pond
Polling Matters - Ep. 66 New Prime Minister and what now for Labour?
Polling Matters - Ep. 65 The legacy of Iraq and is Theresa May unstoppable?
Polling Matters - Ep. 64 Brexit chaos. What happens now?
Polling Matters - Ep. 63 EU referendum day preview
Polling Matters - Ep. 62 Are we leaving the EU?
Polling Matters - Ep. 61 Clinton makes history. November & who will be the running mates.
Polling Matters - Ep. 60 Remain slipping, Immigration and Bob the Builder the C2 swing
Polling Matters - Ep. 59 Analysing the EU referendum polling with Matt Singh
Polling Matters - Ep. 58 Labour members plus the EU referendum phone vs online puzzle
Polling Matters - Ep. 57 What do the polls tell us about the EU referendum campaign?
Polling Matters - Ep. 56 Reviewing 'Super Thursday' with Lord Hayward
Polling Matters - Ep. 55 Focus on Scotland
Polling Matters - Ep. 54 Wales, Obama Brexit intervention, Trump v Clinton and Junior Doctors
Polling Matters – Ep. 53 London mayor and extremism allegations, EU referendum & Clinton vs Trump
Polling Matters - Ep. 52 Turnout in the EU referendum, political spread betting & Trump's disorganisation
Polling Matters - Ep. 51 Focus on London (& Wisconsin)
Polling Matters - Ep. 50 Sanders, Labour's future, Corbyn & Brexit
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