Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.
In part one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at Trump's approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP's prospects in the upcoming midterms. Keiran and Leo also look in-depth at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the right to lead the Democrat's progressive wing.
In part two, Keiran and Leo examine a range of recent polls that present conflicting messages about the state of public opinion on Brexit. Keiran argues that polling on the outcome of a second referendum is useless at this stage, Leo looks at whether support for a second vote is increasing and both Keiran and Leo have a few choice words for a recent article in The Mirror suggesting that 4 million people are prepared to vote Labour if Corbyn is clearer on their Brexit policy. Finally, the pair examine what the numbers mean for Brexit in practical terms as we enter a busy party conference season.
Follow this week's guests:
@Leobarasi
@Keiranpedley
Got a question for the Polling Matters team? Why not message Keiran or Leo on twitter?
Polling Matters - Ep. 49 Trump's path to 1237, Terrorism, Osborne and Labour ahead?
Polling Matters - Ep. 48 March 15 and Budget Reaction
Polling Matters - Ep. 47 Looking ahead to March 15th, The Budget and Beyond
Polling Matters - Ep. 46 Super Tuesday & Labour with Stewart Wood
Polling Matters - Ep. 45 Europe and UKIP with Douglas Carswell
Polling Matters - Ep. 44 SCOTUS & 'Dubya' with Jon-Christopher Bua & Remain in trouble?
Polling Matters - Ep. 43 New Hampshire with 'The Pollsters'
Polling Matters - Ep. 42 TV Pilot, Iowa & E.U. Renegotiation
Polling Matters - Ep. 41 Looking ahead to Iowa and the importance of turnout
Polling Matters - Ep. 40 The BPC Polling Inquiry and are we underestimating Donald Trump?
Polling Matters - Ep. 39 What now for UKIP & the EU referendum campaign
Polling Matters - Ep. 38 Labour Reshuffle, Corbyn's future and questions from listeners w/ Damian McBride
Polling Matters - END OF YEAR SPECIAL PT2. Looking ahead to 2016 (Race for the White House, EU referendum & May elections)
Polling Matters: END OF YEAR SPECIAL Pt 1. Looking back at 2015 (Polling disasters, Scotland and a 'new' Labour Party)
Polling Matters - Ep. 36 Can Trump really win? w/ Ariel Edwards-Levy
Polling Matters - Ep. 35 Oldham, Syria, Polling and Benn
Polling Matters - Ep. 34 The U.S. Presidential race w/ Stan Greenberg
Polling Matters - Ep. 33 What do UK Muslims really think about terrorism?
Polling Matters - Ep. 32 What's it like running for parliament?
Polling Matters - Ep. 31 Scotland's future w/ Kate Devlin
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