Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.
In part one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at Trump's approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP's prospects in the upcoming midterms. Keiran and Leo also look in-depth at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the right to lead the Democrat's progressive wing.
In part two, Keiran and Leo examine a range of recent polls that present conflicting messages about the state of public opinion on Brexit. Keiran argues that polling on the outcome of a second referendum is useless at this stage, Leo looks at whether support for a second vote is increasing and both Keiran and Leo have a few choice words for a recent article in The Mirror suggesting that 4 million people are prepared to vote Labour if Corbyn is clearer on their Brexit policy. Finally, the pair examine what the numbers mean for Brexit in practical terms as we enter a busy party conference season.
Follow this week's guests:
@Leobarasi
@Keiranpedley
Got a question for the Polling Matters team? Why not message Keiran or Leo on twitter?
Polling Matters - Ep. 30 Tax Credits, Lords reform and George Osborne
Polling Matters - Ep. 29 The Canadian General Election
Polling Matters - Ep. 28 Tory Conference Special
Polling Matters Ep. 27 On the campaign trail w/ Miliband spokesman James Stewart
Polling Matters - Ep. 26 Is Corbyn inevitable, unelectable and what happens next for Labour?
Polling Matters - Ep. 25 YouGov Labour poll & Sky polling
Polling Matters - Ep. 24 Why is polling so hard?
Polling Matters - Ep. 23 Labour's election polling w/ James Morris
Polling Matters - Ep. 22 The Exit Poll w/ John Curtice
Polling Matters - Ep. 21 Where does Labour go from here?
Polling Matters ELECTION SPECIAL: The inquest
Polling Matters - Ep. 19 UKIP and what makes a legitimate govt w/ Rob Ford
Polling Matters - Ep. 18 Your questions w/ Mike Smithson
Polling Matters - Ep. 17 Telephone vs Online w/ Matt Singh and Laurence Janta-Lipinski
Polling Matters - Ep. 16 Miliband, SNP and what Cameron does next
Polling Matters - Ep. 15 The campaign so far w/ Asa Bennett & Stephen Bush
Polling Matters - Ep. 14 Ed Miliband and Labour w/ Tim Bale
Polling Matters - Ep. 13 The Liberal Democrats w/ Mark Pack
Polling Matters - Ep. 12 Political Betting w/ Matt Shaddick from Ladbrokes
Polling Matters - Ep. 11 Part 2 w/ Chris Hanretty: Italian politics and poll finding of the week returns
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