On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Matt Singh and Leo Barasi to discuss the tightening polls and what might happen in June. The team discuss whether Labour's recent poll surge is 'real' and what might be behind it. Matt unveils his analysis of what will happen in June based on his model. A model which succesfully predicted the 2015 General Election when all of the polls said the race was close.
Later in the show, Keiran unveils new Polling Matters / Opinium polling that looks at how opinions of the main party leaders have changed since the election began. Also included in the survey is a question about who voters would trust to negotiate Brexit - May or Corbyn - with numbers trended from when the question was last asked in June.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@mattsingh_
@leobarasi
Polling Matters - Episode 109 Do voters think Corbyn is ready to be Prime Minister?
Polling Matters - Episode 108 Queen's Speech, Brexit negotiations, Lib Dems and the youth surge
Polling Matters - Episode 107 General Election debrief: Between YouGov and the DUP
Polling Matters - Episode 106 Election eve special
Polling Matters - Episode 105 Bonus episode: Reviewing this weekend's polls
Polling Matters - Episode 104 The YouGov forecast, pollster wars & May's lost momentum
Polling Matters - Episode 102 Breaking down the GfK / Business Insider survey results
Polling Matters - Ep. 101 Local election debrief, election forecasting and Macron with Steve Fisher
Polling Matters - Episode 100 Firing the starting gun, Brexit rows and where is the Lib Dem surge?
Polling Matters - Ep. 99 Tory landslides and Vive le pollsters! (with Chris Hanretty)
Polling Matters - Ep.98 Snap election - state of the parties and the race ahead
Polling Matters - Ep. 97 The Lib Dem fightback, the Gorton by-election and time for Nick Clegg?
Polling Matters - Ep. 96 Local elections and what will voters compromise on Brexit?
Polling Matters - Ep. 95 Brexit day: Article 50 & what now for Scotland? Plus GfK Return
Polling Matters - Ep. 94 London, Second referendum(s), Snap elections & more
Polling Matters - Ep. 93 SCOTLAND SPECIAL (and some more on Northern Ireland)
Polling Matters - Ep. 92 Northern Ireland elections, Labour members polling & budget reaction
Polling Matters - Ep. 91 Copeland, Corbyn alternatives and what makes a good PM?
Polling Matters - Ep. 90 Thatcher's legacy with Charles Moore and looking ahead to Stoke & Copeland
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