On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Matt Singh and Leo Barasi to discuss the tightening polls and what might happen in June. The team discuss whether Labour's recent poll surge is 'real' and what might be behind it. Matt unveils his analysis of what will happen in June based on his model. A model which succesfully predicted the 2015 General Election when all of the polls said the race was close.
Later in the show, Keiran unveils new Polling Matters / Opinium polling that looks at how opinions of the main party leaders have changed since the election began. Also included in the survey is a question about who voters would trust to negotiate Brexit - May or Corbyn - with numbers trended from when the question was last asked in June.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@mattsingh_
@leobarasi
Polling Matters - Ep. 49 Trump's path to 1237, Terrorism, Osborne and Labour ahead?
Polling Matters - Ep. 48 March 15 and Budget Reaction
Polling Matters - Ep. 47 Looking ahead to March 15th, The Budget and Beyond
Polling Matters - Ep. 46 Super Tuesday & Labour with Stewart Wood
Polling Matters - Ep. 45 Europe and UKIP with Douglas Carswell
Polling Matters - Ep. 44 SCOTUS & 'Dubya' with Jon-Christopher Bua & Remain in trouble?
Polling Matters - Ep. 43 New Hampshire with 'The Pollsters'
Polling Matters - Ep. 42 TV Pilot, Iowa & E.U. Renegotiation
Polling Matters - Ep. 41 Looking ahead to Iowa and the importance of turnout
Polling Matters - Ep. 40 The BPC Polling Inquiry and are we underestimating Donald Trump?
Polling Matters - Ep. 39 What now for UKIP & the EU referendum campaign
Polling Matters - Ep. 38 Labour Reshuffle, Corbyn's future and questions from listeners w/ Damian McBride
Polling Matters - END OF YEAR SPECIAL PT2. Looking ahead to 2016 (Race for the White House, EU referendum & May elections)
Polling Matters: END OF YEAR SPECIAL Pt 1. Looking back at 2015 (Polling disasters, Scotland and a 'new' Labour Party)
Polling Matters - Ep. 36 Can Trump really win? w/ Ariel Edwards-Levy
Polling Matters - Ep. 35 Oldham, Syria, Polling and Benn
Polling Matters - Ep. 34 The U.S. Presidential race w/ Stan Greenberg
Polling Matters - Ep. 33 What do UK Muslims really think about terrorism?
Polling Matters - Ep. 32 What's it like running for parliament?
Polling Matters - Ep. 31 Scotland's future w/ Kate Devlin
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