On this week's PB/Polling Matters podcast, Keiran is joined by Matt Singh and Leo Barasi to discuss the tightening polls and what might happen in June. The team discuss whether Labour's recent poll surge is 'real' and what might be behind it. Matt unveils his analysis of what will happen in June based on his model. A model which succesfully predicted the 2015 General Election when all of the polls said the race was close.
Later in the show, Keiran unveils new Polling Matters / Opinium polling that looks at how opinions of the main party leaders have changed since the election began. Also included in the survey is a question about who voters would trust to negotiate Brexit - May or Corbyn - with numbers trended from when the question was last asked in June.
Follow this week's guests:
@keiranpedley
@mattsingh_
@leobarasi
Polling Matters - Ep. 30 Tax Credits, Lords reform and George Osborne
Polling Matters - Ep. 29 The Canadian General Election
Polling Matters - Ep. 28 Tory Conference Special
Polling Matters Ep. 27 On the campaign trail w/ Miliband spokesman James Stewart
Polling Matters - Ep. 26 Is Corbyn inevitable, unelectable and what happens next for Labour?
Polling Matters - Ep. 25 YouGov Labour poll & Sky polling
Polling Matters - Ep. 24 Why is polling so hard?
Polling Matters - Ep. 23 Labour's election polling w/ James Morris
Polling Matters - Ep. 22 The Exit Poll w/ John Curtice
Polling Matters - Ep. 21 Where does Labour go from here?
Polling Matters ELECTION SPECIAL: The inquest
Polling Matters - Ep. 19 UKIP and what makes a legitimate govt w/ Rob Ford
Polling Matters - Ep. 18 Your questions w/ Mike Smithson
Polling Matters - Ep. 17 Telephone vs Online w/ Matt Singh and Laurence Janta-Lipinski
Polling Matters - Ep. 16 Miliband, SNP and what Cameron does next
Polling Matters - Ep. 15 The campaign so far w/ Asa Bennett & Stephen Bush
Polling Matters - Ep. 14 Ed Miliband and Labour w/ Tim Bale
Polling Matters - Ep. 13 The Liberal Democrats w/ Mark Pack
Polling Matters - Ep. 12 Political Betting w/ Matt Shaddick from Ladbrokes
Polling Matters - Ep. 11 Part 2 w/ Chris Hanretty: Italian politics and poll finding of the week returns
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