In today’s podcast, MUFG U.S. Rates Strategist, John Herrmann reviews his models arguments over the five economic tailwinds for the U.S. recovery in years 2021 and 2022. Even with a timely rollout of vaccinations, there remains lingering, yet quite pronounced, structural deficiency within the economy. Namely, a labor force that was depleted by nearly 3 million individuals over the entire year of 2020, the largest annual decline in the labor force for any year since 1945, and by a wide margin.
The economy over the near- and longer-term beckons for fiscal policy to remain both activist and aggressive, we believe.
Disclaimer: www.mufgresearch.com (PDF)