“US Politics: The Prospects for 2023 & 2024”, James Lucier, Capital Alpha Partners

David Osman of the IRF is joined by James Lucier, Managing Director of Capital Alpha Partners, a leading provider of American strategic policy research and political forecasting. James discusses the outlook for the US mid-term congressional elections and how these may impact President Biden’s 4-year term in the run-up to the next US presidential election. He shares with us the prospects for another Biden versus Trump race for the White House in 2024 and considers some of the other younger candidates in the Democrat and Republican parties who may come to the fore. With cost of living and interest rates rising, continuing Covid struggles, strained US-China relations, and Russia’s war on Ukraine, James assesses what all this means for US financial markets in the remainder of this year and in 2023.

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Capital Alpha Partners, founded in 2007 and based in Washington DC, closely monitors and forecasts US political developments, and analyses their impact on the economy and the financial markets. Seven senior analysts - grounded by 175 years of collective professional - provide experienced, sector-based coverage of policy trends, legislative activity, budget data, regulatory processes, and the political climate. As well as coverage at a macro level, sector coverage includes Financials, Energy & Environment, Health care, Telecom & Media, Consumer, Defence and Industrials.