Ep. 127: The Point of Inflation Inflection
Cents and Sensibility: the Inflation Guy Podcast

Ep. 127: The Point of Inflation Inflection

2024-12-03
For more than a year now, the story about inflation and why inflation was almost certainly going to stay high (in the 'high 3s, low 4s' on median inflation, as the Inflation Guy has long held) was a story about the guaranteed rebound in money velocity. That has been an easy story and forecasting medium-term inflation has been consequently pretty easy. That is changing. Velocity has made a round trip to where it was prior to COVID. And that means that the underlying drivers of inflation going forward are changing. In...
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