What I Think I Know

In this episode of the Plutonomix Podcast, Barnaby Levin talks about forecasts and (given people's natural inclination to base their decisions on Assumptions) whether they can ever be of any value. Either way, he discusses the impact forecasts do have on investing and, in the end, asks whether the Fed or the upcoming, Mid-Term Election is more important, longer term.

 

TIMESTAMPS

• [00:01] Intro
• [01:02] Do forecasts really help?
• [04:10] Cognitive dissonance
• [06:27] The impact on investing
• [13:10] What could happen with Mid-term elections
• 14:34] Outro

 

RESOURCES

• What I Think I Know by Barnaby Levin
• The Illusion of Knowledge by Howard Marks
• Closing Technique of the Week: The Ben Franklin Close
• CNBC: The Fed has not made a compelling case for taming inflation by crushing demand, says Judy Shelton
• Stanley Druckenmiller says he'd be 'stunned' if recession doesn't happen in 2023
• Contact Barnaby
• Contact Laurie
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