This week join your host Edward Johnson, Head of Global Analysis along with Liana Semchuk, our Lead Europe & Eurasia Analyst and Alex Lord, our Europe & Eurasia Analyst to discuss the up and coming Russian elections.
Legislative elections will be held in Russia between 17 – 19 September, with the ruling United Russia highly likely to retain its political dominance. Despite the party's low approval ratings amid prolonged dissatisfaction with socio-economic conditions, the government's use of incentives, targeted repression, and online voting will work in its favour.
Meanwhile, the absence of a clear and unifying opposition figure will ensure that the risk of mass protests is limited, though sporadic mass action cannot be ruled out entirely, should widespread electoral irregularities be reported. As such, policy continuity, greater protectionism of domestic IT businesses, and increasing intolerance of dissent are likely to become more pronounced after the election.
Sibylline Podcast – Ukraine – Growing Tensions with Russia Shape Pre-Election Environment
Sibylline Podcast – France – Further Unrest Likely Despite Mitigating Measures
Sibylline Podcast - South Asia - Ethno-Religious Tension as a Political Tool
Sibylline Podcast – Germany - Merkel Withdrawal Adds to Moderate Political Uncertainty
Sibylline Podcast – Syria – Improved regional trade likely as Idlib ceasefire holds following Istanbul summit
Sibylline Podcast – Saudi Arabia – Controversy Surrounding Ongoing Khashoggi Case Anticipated to Elevate Short-term Reputational Risks
Sibylline Podcast - Mozambique – Local Elections Unlikely to Undermine Ongoing Peace Process
Sibylline Podcast – Brazil – Elections likely to go to second round with a credible chance of a Haddad Presidency
Sibylline Podcast – Japan – Economic and foreign policy continuity expected during Abe’s highly anticipated final term
Sibylline Podcast - Russia/China - The Vostok Military Exercises and the Evolving Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership
Sibylline Podcast – Ukraine - The Zakharchenko Assassination: What it means for the Donbas conflict and Urkaine
Sibylline Podcast - Turkey/US – Growing Bilateral Tensions Raise Risks from Popular Anti-American Sentiment in Turkey
Sibylline Podcast – Greece/Macedonia – Political Uncertainty and Risks of Unrest Likely to Endure in the Long Term
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