UFC Perth: Underdogs Down Under? Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes & More

2025-09-24

The UFC returns to Australia with UFC Perth, headlined by Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes. After a week off, we’re back in the lab breaking down some key fights: Including Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya, Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny, and the big main event. The model is steady at 133-70-10 (65%), and this week it’s pointing toward some surprising angles. We’ll dig into the stats, talk xR%, striking numbers, and control rates — and highlight where the lines might not match the math. Just data-driven fight talk and insights to get you ready for Saturday night in Perth.

The model is steady at 133-70-10 (65%), and this week it’s pointing toward some surprising angles. We’ll dig into the stats, talk xR%, striking numbers, and control rates — and highlight where the lines might not match the math.

Just data-driven fight talk and insights to get you ready for Saturday night in Perth.

Plus, don’t forget to subscribe to the Substack at FightNumbers.substack.com and catch me on First Strike with Dave Ross every Monday and Friday on the VSiN Podcast Network.

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Podcast notes:

Music by Elevate Audio:

http://elevate-audio.com

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