On 5 January, Venezuela tumbled in a new political crisis when the leadership of the Venezuela’s National Assembly was challenged by two rival speakers: opposition leader Juan Guaidó, backed by the international community, and dissident opposition lawmaker Luis Parra, supported by President Nicolás Maduro and Russia. As the political standoff continues in the coming months, the deepening of the economic and humanitarian crisis will exacerbate tensions with neighbouring Colombia.
Key points include:
Sibylline Podcast – Ukraine – Growing Tensions with Russia Shape Pre-Election Environment
Sibylline Podcast – France – Further Unrest Likely Despite Mitigating Measures
Sibylline Podcast - South Asia - Ethno-Religious Tension as a Political Tool
Sibylline Podcast – Germany - Merkel Withdrawal Adds to Moderate Political Uncertainty
Sibylline Podcast – Syria – Improved regional trade likely as Idlib ceasefire holds following Istanbul summit
Sibylline Podcast – Saudi Arabia – Controversy Surrounding Ongoing Khashoggi Case Anticipated to Elevate Short-term Reputational Risks
Sibylline Podcast - Mozambique – Local Elections Unlikely to Undermine Ongoing Peace Process
Sibylline Podcast – Brazil – Elections likely to go to second round with a credible chance of a Haddad Presidency
Sibylline Podcast – Japan – Economic and foreign policy continuity expected during Abe’s highly anticipated final term
Sibylline Podcast - Russia/China - The Vostok Military Exercises and the Evolving Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership
Sibylline Podcast – Ukraine - The Zakharchenko Assassination: What it means for the Donbas conflict and Urkaine
Sibylline Podcast - Turkey/US – Growing Bilateral Tensions Raise Risks from Popular Anti-American Sentiment in Turkey
Sibylline Podcast – Greece/Macedonia – Political Uncertainty and Risks of Unrest Likely to Endure in the Long Term
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