Mexico’s Economic Struggles: Recession Looms Amid U.S. Tariff Threats

In today's episode, we explore the looming economic challenges facing Mexico as the OECD projects a recession with a 1.3% GDP decline in 2025. The impact of impending U.S. tariffs and the Mexican government's response through 'Plan México' are discussed, alongside the central bank's interest rate cuts. Join us for an in-depth analysis of Mexico's economic outlook and the potential repercussions on trade and currency.

Sources:
https://derechadiario.com.ar/us/mexico/a-possible-economic-recession-for-mexico-in-2025-was-forecast
https://www.fxstreet.com/news/mexican-peso-pressured-on-economic-weakness-and-trade-fears-202503211746
https://www.argusmedia.com/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2669287-mexico-s-gdp-forecasts-slashed-on-trade-concerns
https://www.riotimesonline.com/mexico-heads-toward-recession-as-u-s-tariffs-hammer-economy/
https://www.morningstar.com/economy/what-trumps-trade-wars-could-mean-global-economy-markets
https://programbusiness.com/news/key-highlights-from-the-oecd-economic-outlook-interim-report-march-2025/
https://mexiconewsdaily.com/news/mexico-economy-oecd/
https://mexicobusiness.news/finance/news/oecd-predicts-tariffs-will-shrink-mexicos-economy-finance-week
https://news.ucr.edu/articles/2025/03/24/economist-assesses-tariff-impacts-stock-market-trade
https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2669287-mexico-s-gdp-forecasts-slashed-on-trade-concerns
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5191411
https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/vemo/vemo-mexico.html
https://mexicobusiness.news/finance/news/mexico-cuts-january-fiscal-deficit-865-cuts-public-spending
https://substack.com/home/post/p-159349501
https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/articles/investment-economic-outlook-march-2025.html
https://ncrc.org/odds-of-recession-rise-while-tariffs-dampen-consumer-outlook-march-2025-race-jobs-and-the-economy-update/