Locust swarms are devasting agriculture across Somalia, Ethiopia and Kenya, with some communities reporting 100% crop loss and Somalia announcing a state of emergency. These swarms are now spreading into South Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda and most recently into the Democratic Republic of Congo. This will significantly elevate threats to food security in a region where in October 2019 aid agencies recorded 13 million people facing critical levels of hunger, likely driving domestic unrest, particularly in Ethiopia ahead of elections in August.
Key points include:
Sibylline Podcast – Ukraine – Growing Tensions with Russia Shape Pre-Election Environment
Sibylline Podcast – France – Further Unrest Likely Despite Mitigating Measures
Sibylline Podcast - South Asia - Ethno-Religious Tension as a Political Tool
Sibylline Podcast – Germany - Merkel Withdrawal Adds to Moderate Political Uncertainty
Sibylline Podcast – Syria – Improved regional trade likely as Idlib ceasefire holds following Istanbul summit
Sibylline Podcast – Saudi Arabia – Controversy Surrounding Ongoing Khashoggi Case Anticipated to Elevate Short-term Reputational Risks
Sibylline Podcast - Mozambique – Local Elections Unlikely to Undermine Ongoing Peace Process
Sibylline Podcast – Brazil – Elections likely to go to second round with a credible chance of a Haddad Presidency
Sibylline Podcast – Japan – Economic and foreign policy continuity expected during Abe’s highly anticipated final term
Sibylline Podcast - Russia/China - The Vostok Military Exercises and the Evolving Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership
Sibylline Podcast – Ukraine - The Zakharchenko Assassination: What it means for the Donbas conflict and Urkaine
Sibylline Podcast - Turkey/US – Growing Bilateral Tensions Raise Risks from Popular Anti-American Sentiment in Turkey
Sibylline Podcast – Greece/Macedonia – Political Uncertainty and Risks of Unrest Likely to Endure in the Long Term
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