How Many Rate Hikes in 2022?

This week's episode was an information-packed one about the current state of our economy. All we hear about on TV are interest rates and inflation. People also look to the bond market to get an idea of where interest rates are going, but does this always paint the entire picture? Have a listen to the episode to get the full story!

Interest rates may be on the way up, but if the Bank of Canada raises them too fast, they could have even more problems to deal with. So until the variable rate continues to close the gap between it and the fixed rate, we still see it as the more attractive option. And remember, Cannect can lock you into a fixed rate in the blink of an eye when the time comes.

 

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0:00 - Intro
1:43 - Theme of the episode: What the bond market and Canadian Banks are telling us about interest rates
3:07 - Background Info: Bond yields, interest and mortgage rates.
6:01 - The overnight rate: "The rate to end all rates"
9:14 - The BoC still sees inflation as transitory
11:46 - Marcus does not see interest rates increasing as quickly as the bond market is predicting due to it being too costly to make a mistake.
13:22 - The 2 ways money has been pumped into the market: Monetary and Fiscal Policy.
15:39 - If we increase interest rates too quickly now, we'll have to spend even more money than we already have to continue fixing our economy.
18:22 - Inflation is largely coming from parts of supply chains attempting to increase their own profitability.
19:46 - A central bank can affect the economy just by talking.
21:26 - Where does Marcus see interest rates going?
28:13 - Why a repeat of the 80s is very unlikely.
32:47 - The BoC and the bond market are taking different positions when it comes to inflation.
36:06 - Marcus predicts you'll be able to get a 5-year fixed rate within the next 3 months than what is on the market today