The Conditional Release Program

Episode 195 - March for Australia Part 1 with Jimmy Garnet

Some good friends of the podcast went to the so called 'March for Australia' in Sydney and have joined us to share their observations. First up is Jimmy Garnet who does an excellent impersonation of a boomer normie. Enjoy!

Episode 194 - Hell in H Division with Ray Mooney

In this the second part of Jack's interview with Ray Mooney, Ray speaks of the hell of Pentridge's H Division where prison officers routinely bashed inmates. Ray speaks of the Jenkinson inquiry parliamentary inquiry which delivered no justice but ended the careers of some especially sadistic prison officers but the hell in H Division continued. Ray found himself in H Division. He was beaten regularly. He pledged that he would not break rocks - the work detail in H Division. Despite the beatings, he never did. Ray and Jack take the discussion to other prisons around the country, including the notorious HM Grafton. Why were these places so violent? What did officialdom expect would happen to the prisoners subject to this brutality? The interview concludes on a wide ranging discussion on prison reform and crime prevention.  To find Ray's work check him out at https://raymooney.com/ where he has just about written more books than I've read and charges next to nothing for them. Link to buy the books is here: https://www.amazon.com.au/s?k=%22ray+mooney%22&i=digital-text&crid=33E6XF5AE1JHN&sprefix=ray+mooney+%2Cdigital-text%2C234&ref=nb_sb_noss_2For more from Ray and VERY good friend of the podcast Emily Webb - check out her interview with Ray here - https://open.spotify.com/episode/5IvI5l4vfoRstIMBQQGueMIf you want to help support the show and keep this thing sustainable, the patreon is here:https://www.patreon.com/theconditionalreleaseprogram

The Two Jacks - Episode 125 - Manhunts, Defamation & Democracy—Chaos Across Continents

Oh man the AI slop shownotes this week are awful but I have a puppy and law school to do so this is getting low effort. Enjoy!DETAILED SHOWNOTESSummary:The Two Jacks break down the week’s true news rollercoaster: Victoria’s police tragedy, sovereign citizen threats, major legal tussles, global politics, social developments, and the surging finals in AFL, NRL, and rugby. Distilled analysis, with signature banter.TIMESTAMPED SEGMENTS00:00:00 Introduction, Weather in Hong KongJoel welcomes listeners, heat in HK, setting the stage.00:00:34 Victoria Police Manhunt, Sovereign CitizensDramatic manhunt after two police officers are killed, suspect’s ties to sovereign citizen movement, parallels to Wyambilla tragedy.00:04:11 Police Tactics & RisksComments on why police risk assessments and tactical resources are crucial.00:08:25 Outlaw Gangs, ExtremismWhy definitions are tricky, group amorphousness, risk to police and society, and danger parallels with outlaw motorcycle clubs and extremist factions.00:18:51 Linda Reynolds v Brittany Higgins: Defamation CaseReynolds wins $340k; litigation toll on both parties, settlement issues, the public interest defense, and legal costs impact.00:27:15 Essential Poll Deep DivePM Albanese’s approval, data on Lay, Allen, Batten, support for the four-day week, AI copyright law, public mood on recognising Palestine.00:31:26 Australia Expels Iranian AmbassadorFirst such move since WWII, IRGC-linked arson plot at Melbourne synagogue, ASIO’s case, diplomatic fallout, social media reactions.00:33:39 NDIS Reforms, Autism DebateButler targets spending cuts, idea of restricting low-level autistic support from the NDIS, personal stories, system sustainability.00:37:56 Sydney Housing Density, NIMBYism, PlanningWallara station plan, high-density in well-off suburbs, nimbys, Auckland experiment, regulatory cost pressures, building quality concerns.00:55:11 Oasis at Wembley, Beer Stats, Generational FandomConcert spectacle, 250k pints of beer, generational audience, band’s new healthy habits.00:59:19 Trump’s Health, Biden, and US WoesTrump’s visible health issues, flag burning crusade, slump in US tourism, Vegas emptiness, security hassles, global perception trouble.01:14:29 UK Politics: Farage Rises, Labour PlummetsFarage’s surge, Starmer’s poor ratings, immigration fights, sovereignty of UK Parliament, political fluidity.01:18:39 AFL & NRL Finals, Wallabies RugbyAFL top four discussed, surprise departures, Swans season, NRL ladder, Wallabies revival under Joe Schmidt, broader rugby hopes.SOCIAL MEDIA POSTSTwitter:Vic police manhunt: 2 officers killed, ties to sovereign citizen movement. | Reynolds wins defamation vs. Higgins. | #auspol #twjpodEssential Poll deep dive: Albanese steady, Lay, Allen, Batten ratings. Public split on Palestine, 50% support 4-day week, strong opposition to AI copyright reform. #auspol #twjpodIranian ambassador expelled after synagogue arson plot linked to IRGC. | NDIS/Autism reforms stir debate. | Oasis packs Wembley & breaks beer records. #ausnews #music #twjpodFacebook:Episode 125 of The Two Jacks – Hosted by Jack the Insider (Joel Hill) and Hong Kong Jack.– This week: Victoria's police manhunt and the sovereign citizen threat, Linda Reynolds v Brittany Higgins, Essential Poll shakeups (Albanese, statehood for Palestine, the four-day week, copyright & AI), expulsion of Iran's ambassador over a Melbourne arson plot, NDIS reforms, Sydney housing density, Oasis at Wembley, Trump v Biden health, UK and EU politics, and the finals race in AFL & NRL plus Wallabies rugby.Listen in for analysis, banter, and more! 🎧 #auspol #twjpod

Episode 193 - Milat - Age Checks - Gaetzy - Aug 31 - 4 corners - PETE!

It has been a busy time on the right wing fringe of politics with a lot of dickheads having tantrums for reasons we can't fathom and they can't articulate. It's been a lot! But first up we have the very much not right wing but still slightly fringe tale of Jeremy Buckingham's search for truth regarding Ivan Milat's actual body count. The problem is, he's gone a bit off track and started making some fairly baseless claims. These can do more harm than good - and it's a classic case of when a politician thinks he's a cop and ends up doing both jobs terribly. We love Jeremy but this one's not going well. Cookers are upset about the coming 'backdoor' to digital tyranny that will see us having to identify ourselves on the internet to get past age checks for naughty content. And while the proliferation of awful content online is something worth looking at, this response ain't it. AND we have Gaetzy who has a solution to the war in Ukraine. It's really dumb. No spoilers. Cooker update has a bit of a lead up to next weeks racist picnic in the park where a lot of people will unite for the cause of - uh - straya? It's vague. We don't really know who is organising it. But they put Bec Freedom out as the media scapegoat and wow she's copped a shellacking. I tell ya what though - if you want to distance this rally from the Nazis who endorsed it, maybe don't put people that endorse nazis in charge? Just a thought, guys. In SovCits we look at the 4 corners episode that recently had a crack at the Common Law folks who love a good mock trial and dashing custom printed polo shirt. It was a good effort, but worth a chat nonetheless. I also preview the first few pages of Pete's new book and it sucks so much more than expected. Like, I knew the premise was silly but WOW does this thing suck. And the price is insane. -----------------------------------------------------------As usual, if you have any money you must give it to us. Preferably all of it, but if you want to be a jerk you can keep some. Best way to do that is https://www.patreon.com/theconditionalreleaseprogramIf you have money and you don't want to give us any of it - but you like beer - then go buy a case or three from https://cbco.beer/ - and use the coupon code CRP10 to get 10% off. It's genuinely good beer and their prices are properly decent.

The Two Jacks - Episode 124 - Stadiums, Surface Wars, and the Cost of Cutting Corners

As usual, AI slop shownotes for anyone who wants to read them. Enjoy!In this packed episode of The Two Jacks, Jack the Insider and Hong Kong Jack cut through a huge week in politics, policy, and sport. They kick off with life on the bike lanes and the four‑day work week debate before diving into Australia’s productivity roundtable: where progress might actually come from, why energy costs and regulation matter most, and how timid politics strangles reform. They spar over tax design, housing, stamp duty, and the red tape that inflates costs without improving quality.From there, the Jacks range across global flashpoints and US turbulence—Israel–Australia tit-for-tat visas, the Ukraine–Russia talks fallout, the limits of sanctions, and whether the West has the will for long wars. Stateside, they dissect rising US inflation pressures, Congress’s stock-trading problem, and the “picking winners” trap in industrial policy. Locally, they tackle the Greens in Tasmania, crime perception vs data, and Australia’s defense priorities in a drone-dominated future—before a big sports wrap: AFL finals implications from homophobic slur bans, NRL ladder-shaping clashes, cricket’s farewell to Bob Simpson, the Wallabies’ breakthrough at Ellis Park, and Sydney’s Allianz Stadium turf debacle.Timestamped segments and takeaways 00:00:01 – Cold open, weather and bike lanesBanter on soggy Sydney/Melbourne and bike lane hazards.Takeaway: Urban transport design vs pedestrian safety—light opener that foreshadows policy tradeoffs.00:02:23 – Four‑day work week and productivity roundtableJack the Insider outlines ACTU’s four‑day week ask; government quickly cools it.Hong Kong Jack: flexible, case-by-case four‑day arrangements can work well; blanket mandates don’t.Notable quote (Hong Kong Jack): “It really is a case-by-case basis… it can be done—it just can’t be done across the board.”00:04:26 – Housing, commuting, and productivity dragLong commutes as a hidden productivity killer; WFH rights expanding in Victoria but role-dependent.00:06:47 – AI regulation “light touch”Productivity Commission signals minimal regulation; Jack the Insider flags creator rights concerns.00:07:51 – Where productivity gains might come fromHong Kong Jack: “The two obvious areas to attack are regulation and energy costs.”00:08:17 – Energy transition, prices, and investmentJack the Insider: transition and decades of policy drift drove high prices; grid infrastructure is the bottleneck.Coal vs renewables economics; investment won’t return to coal due to horizon risk.00:12:00 – Cutting “red tape”: harmonization and tax settingsFederation frictions; harmonise state regs; stamp duty singled out as a worst tax.Building codes ballooning costs while quality supervision lags.00:14:24 – Build quality crises and supervision gapsMascot/Zetland examples; spate of vacated towers; cheap builds, high prices.00:15:40 – Political capital, timid reform, and election calculusIs Albanese Labor’s John Howard—few big-ticket reforms, focus on winning?Take reforms to an election (GST precedent), but reformers often punished at the polls.00:24:45 – Israel–Australia visa spatSimcha Rothman’s visa withdrawn; Israel responds by revoking visas for Australians to the Palestinian Authority; both sides flex sovereignty.Notable quote (Hong Kong Jack): “This is just how it works.”00:27:28 – Failed asylum seekers backlog nearing 100kProcessing delays create perverse incentives; most rejected claimants retain work/study rights—encourages low‑merit claims.Enforcement throughput is minimal; backlog self‑feeds.00:32:07 – Tasmania: Greens hold line on stabilityGreens won’t back Labor no-confidence; Premier continues; different cultures in Tas vs NSW Greens.00:36:32 – Vale Terence StampPersonal memories; Priscilla role noted; a prickly but great actor.00:38:00 – Ukraine–Russia: Alaska talks flop, semantics vs substanceOptics criticised; ceasefire vs peace semantics; limits of sanctions and Western will.Debate: Can Ukraine regain Crimea/Donbas? Is a negotiated end inevitable? Historical echoes (appeasement vs long war).00:49:05 – US inflation watch and tariffsProducer prices beat; risks of re‑acceleration; fuel prices helping headline but underlying pressures rising.Tariffs’ pass-through to consumers; political messaging vs data; Fed unlikely to cut on these numbers.00:54:24 – Crime, stats vs street realityDC deployments; media narratives vs lived experience; class/education divide shapes perceptions.00:58:26 – Drones, defense, and future warfareUS behind China on cheap drone swarms (DJI dominance); implications for Australia: missiles, subs, strike aircraft, drones, and a modern surface fleet.01:00:42 – Congressional stock trading and transparencyBipartisan enrichment via informational access; “broadcast trades in real-time” proposal; ban vs radical transparency.01:04:27 – Picking winners: Intel, Kodak lessonsGovernment stakes risk political logic over market logic; Kodak/Motorola as cautionary tales.01:08:05 – Crime again: data declines vs spikes that matterAustralia’s violent crime historically higher in 1920s/1980s; present-day spikes (aggravated burglaries) shape sentiment; good recidivism programs often lack political incentives.01:13:08 – AFL: homophobic slur sanctions and finals stakesRankine case likely to set a benchmark; prior bans (3–6 weeks) cited; consistency required.Notable quote (Jack the Insider): “It’s a bad word… it needs to be removed from the game.”01:19:01 – AFL form lines and umpiringAdelaide/Geelong threats; Collingwood’s midfield clearance issues; four‑umpire system not working.01:21:33 – NRL, cricket, rugbyNRL: Storm beat Panthers; big clashes ahead; ladder permutations.Cricket: Vale Bob Simpson; fielding revolution; ODI series in Cairns; roster chat (Maxwell retired from ODIs; case for Tim David).Wallabies: first Ellis Park win since 1963; O’Connor–Jorgensen try a “thing of beauty.”01:27:16 – Allianz Stadium turf failureDrainage massively under-spec; costly resurfacing; modern stadiums should drain ~600mm/hr; Allianz reported ~40mm/hr.01:31:07 – Vegas tourism pivot and gougePricing up, volume down; “milk everything” model—$50/day minibar “storage” anecdote; vibe no longer value-driven.01:32:53 – Corporate team bonding and Beef WellingtonHong Kong’s “Feather and Bone”-style classes; culinary nostalgia to close the show.Sign-off: where to contact The Two Jacks (Condition Release Program email, Substack, X DMs open).Notable quotes to pull“The essence of progress to a better life for Australians is improved productivity.”“The two obvious areas to attack are regulation and energy costs.”“It can be done—it just can’t be done across the board.”“Drones and robotics are the future of warfare.”“It’s a bad word… it needs to be removed from the game.”