Learning Bayesian Statistics

#113 A Deep Dive into Bayesian Stats, with Alex Andorra, ft. the Super Data Science Podcast

Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs. Get in touch at https://www.pymc-labs.com/! • My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses: https://www.intuitivebayes.com/ • 1:1 Mentorship with me: https://topmate.io/alex_andorra Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work (https://bababrinkman.com/) ! Visit our Patreon page (https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats) to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;) Takeaways: - Bayesian statistics is a powerful framework for handling complex problems, making use of prior knowledge, and excelling with limited data. - Bayesian statistics provides a framework for updating beliefs and making predictions based on prior knowledge and observed data. - Bayesian methods allow for the explicit incorporation of prior assumptions, which can provide structure and improve the reliability of the analysis. - There are several Bayesian frameworks available, such as PyMC, Stan, and Bambi, each with its own strengths and features. - PyMC is a powerful library for Bayesian modeling that allows for flexible and efficient computation. - For beginners, it is recommended to start with introductory courses or resources that provide a step-by-step approach to learning Bayesian statistics. - PyTensor leverages GPU acceleration and complex graph optimizations to improve the performance and scalability of Bayesian models. - ArviZ is a library for post-modeling workflows in Bayesian statistics, providing tools for model diagnostics and result visualization. - Gaussian processes are versatile non-parametric models that can be used for spatial and temporal data analysis in Bayesian statistics. Chapters: 00:00 Introduction to Bayesian Statistics 07:32 Advantages of Bayesian Methods 16:22 Incorporating Priors in Models 23:26 Modeling Causal Relationships 30:03 Introduction to PyMC, Stan, and Bambi 34:30 Choosing the Right Bayesian Framework 39:20 Getting Started with Bayesian Statistics 44:39 Understanding Bayesian Statistics and PyMC 49:01 Leveraging PyTensor for Improved Performance and Scalability 01:02:37 Exploring Post-Modeling Workflows with ArviZ 01:08:30 The Power of Gaussian Processes in Bayesian Modeling Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible! Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Marcin Elantkowski, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, Hector Munoz, Marco Gorelli, Simon Kessell, Bradley Rode, Patrick Kelley, Rick Anderson, Casper de Bruin, Philippe Labonde, Michael Hankin, Cameron Smith, Tomáš Frýda, Ryan Wesslen, Andreas Netti, Riley King, Yoshiyuki Hamajima, Sven De Maeyer, Michael DeCrescenzo, Fergal M, Mason Yahr, Naoya Kanai, Steven Rowland, Aubrey Clayton, Jeannine Sue, Omri Har Shemesh, Scott Anthony Robson, Robert Yolken, Or Duek, Pavel Dusek, Paul Cox, Andreas Kröpelin, Raphaël R, Nicolas Rode, Gabriel Stechschulte, Arkady, Kurt TeKolste, Gergely Juhasz, Marcus Nölke, Maggi Mackintosh, Grant Pezzolesi, Avram Aelony, Joshua Meehl, Javier Sabio, Kristian Higgins, Alex Jones, Gregorio Aguilar, Matt Rosinski, Bart Trudeau, Luis Fonseca, Dante Gates, Matt Niccolls, Maksim Kuznecov, Michael Thomas, Luke Gorrie, Cory Kiser, Julio, Edvin Saveljev, Frederick Ayala, Jeffrey Powell, Gal Kampel, Adan Romero, Will Geary, Blake Walters, Jonathan Morgan and Francesco Madrisotti. Links from the show: https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/113-deep-dive-bayesian-stats-alex-andorra-super-data-science-podcast/

#112 Advanced Bayesian Regression, with Tomi Capretto

Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs. Get in touch at https://www.pymc-labs.com/! • My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses: https://www.intuitivebayes.com/ • 1:1 Mentorship with me: https://topmate.io/alex_andorra Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work (https://bababrinkman.com/) ! Visit our Patreon page (https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats) to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;) Takeaways: - Teaching Bayesian Concepts Using M&Ms: Tomi Capretto uses an engaging classroom exercise involving M&Ms to teach Bayesian statistics, making abstract concepts tangible and intuitive for students. - Practical Applications of Bayesian Methods: Discussion on the real-world application of Bayesian methods in projects at PyMC Labs and in university settings, emphasizing the practical impact and accessibility of Bayesian statistics. - Contributions to Open-Source Software: Tomi’s involvement in developing Bambi and other open-source tools demonstrates the importance of community contributions to advancing statistical software. - Challenges in Statistical Education: Tomi talks about the challenges and rewards of teaching complex statistical concepts to students who are accustomed to frequentist approaches, highlighting the shift to thinking probabilistically in Bayesian frameworks. - Future of Bayesian Tools: The discussion also touches on the future enhancements for Bambi and PyMC, aiming to make these tools more robust and user-friendly for a wider audience, including those who are not professional statisticians. Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible! Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Marcin Elantkowski, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, Hector Munoz, Marco Gorelli, Simon Kessell, Bradley Rode, Patrick Kelley, Rick Anderson, Casper de Bruin, Philippe Labonde, Michael Hankin, Cameron Smith, Tomáš Frýda, Ryan Wesslen, Andreas Netti, Riley King, Yoshiyuki Hamajima, Sven De Maeyer, Michael DeCrescenzo, Fergal M, Mason Yahr, Naoya Kanai, Steven Rowland, Aubrey Clayton, Jeannine Sue, Omri Har Shemesh, Scott Anthony Robson, Robert Yolken, Or Duek, Pavel Dusek, Paul Cox, Andreas Kröpelin, Raphaël R, Nicolas Rode, Gabriel Stechschulte, Arkady, Kurt TeKolste, Gergely Juhasz, Marcus Nölke, Maggi Mackintosh, Grant Pezzolesi, Avram Aelony, Joshua Meehl, Javier Sabio, Kristian Higgins, Alex Jones, Gregorio Aguilar, Matt Rosinski, Bart Trudeau, Luis Fonseca, Dante Gates, Matt Niccolls, Maksim Kuznecov, Michael Thomas, Luke Gorrie, Cory Kiser, Julio, Edvin Saveljev, Frederick Ayala, Jeffrey Powell, Gal Kampel, Adan Romero, Will Geary, Blake Walters, Jonathan Morgan and Francesco Madrisotti. Links from the show: https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/112-advanced-bayesian-regression-tomi-capretto/