Polling Matters returns for an extended episode exploring the latest goings-on in Washington DC and what a recent avalanche of Brexit related polling tells us about public opinion as we head into a crucial party conference season.
In part one, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at Trump's approval rating and what that says about his prospects for re-election and the GOP's prospects in the upcoming midterms. Keiran and Leo also look in-depth at the potential Democratic candidates to face him in 2020, with a special focus on Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders as they compete for the right to lead the Democrat's progressive wing.
In part two, Keiran and Leo examine a range of recent polls that present conflicting messages about the state of public opinion on Brexit. Keiran argues that polling on the outcome of a second referendum is useless at this stage, Leo looks at whether support for a second vote is increasing and both Keiran and Leo have a few choice words for a recent article in The Mirror suggesting that 4 million people are prepared to vote Labour if Corbyn is clearer on their Brexit policy. Finally, the pair examine what the numbers mean for Brexit in practical terms as we enter a busy party conference season.
Follow this week's guests:
@Leobarasi
@Keiranpedley
Got a question for the Polling Matters team? Why not message Keiran or Leo on twitter?
Polling Matters - Episode 109 Do voters think Corbyn is ready to be Prime Minister?
Polling Matters - Episode 108 Queen's Speech, Brexit negotiations, Lib Dems and the youth surge
Polling Matters - Episode 107 General Election debrief: Between YouGov and the DUP
Polling Matters - Episode 106 Election eve special
Polling Matters - Episode 105 Bonus episode: Reviewing this weekend's polls
Polling Matters - Episode 104 The YouGov forecast, pollster wars & May's lost momentum
Polling Matters - Episode 103 Explaining the Labour surge & June predictions
Polling Matters - Episode 102 Breaking down the GfK / Business Insider survey results
Polling Matters - Ep. 101 Local election debrief, election forecasting and Macron with Steve Fisher
Polling Matters - Episode 100 Firing the starting gun, Brexit rows and where is the Lib Dem surge?
Polling Matters - Ep. 99 Tory landslides and Vive le pollsters! (with Chris Hanretty)
Polling Matters - Ep.98 Snap election - state of the parties and the race ahead
Polling Matters - Ep. 97 The Lib Dem fightback, the Gorton by-election and time for Nick Clegg?
Polling Matters - Ep. 96 Local elections and what will voters compromise on Brexit?
Polling Matters - Ep. 95 Brexit day: Article 50 & what now for Scotland? Plus GfK Return
Polling Matters - Ep. 94 London, Second referendum(s), Snap elections & more
Polling Matters - Ep. 93 SCOTLAND SPECIAL (and some more on Northern Ireland)
Polling Matters - Ep. 92 Northern Ireland elections, Labour members polling & budget reaction
Polling Matters - Ep. 91 Copeland, Corbyn alternatives and what makes a good PM?
Polling Matters - Ep. 90 Thatcher's legacy with Charles Moore and looking ahead to Stoke & Copeland
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